Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures slip as fallout from Trump's tariff reversal unsettles market

view original post

US stock futures retreated on Monday as investors grappled with the fallout from the Supreme Court’s rebuff of President Trump’s most sweeping tariffs, which has thrown major trade deals into doubt.

Contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) slipped 0.2%, while those on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) shed 0.3%, both paring deeper premarket losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) dropped roughly 0.3%, coming off a volatile but winning session on Friday.

Growing uncertainty about the global trade landscape is unsettling markets, amid debate about Trump’s next moves and reaction from countries that have signed US trade pacts.

The Supreme Court’s invalidation of many US tariffs on Friday initially fueled trade hopes and buoyed stocks. But Wall Street gauges and the dollar (DX-Y.NYB) are starting the week on the back foot after Trump said Saturday that the US will lift the baseline tariff rate on imports to 15%, effective immediately.

In a strong response, the EU rejected any hike in tariffs, saying “a deal is a deal” and calling on Washington to clarify the steps it will take following the court rebuff.

Meanwhile, the US customs agency said it will stop collecting the overturned tariffs, amid calculations for $2 trillion hit to the federal budget. Refunds by the US to importers and the legal basis for Trump’s new levies are other concerns on Wall Street.

Elsewhere in geopolitics, markets are weighing the prospects for US-Iran nuclear talks, set to resume on Thursday as US forces swarm the Middle East. Last week, Trump warned Iran to reach a deal or face the consequences. Oil prices (BZ=F, CL=F) fell on Monday, after ending last week up more than 5%.

Looking ahead, AI chipmaker Nvidia’s (NVDA) results on Wednesday are the earnings highlight as the season continues to wind down, and as AI disruption fears swirl. Salesforce (CRM) — whose stock was hit by those fears — reports the same day. Before that, investors get a litmus test for retail in Home Depot’s (HD) quarterly update on Tuesday.

LIVE 7 updates

  • Novo’s stock falls as obesity drug falls short against Lilly’s in trial

    Novo Nordisk (NVO) stock san 13% before the bell on Monday after its next-generation obesity drug CagriSema ‌was less effective than Eli Lilly’s tirzepatide ‌in a head-to-head trial.

    Eli Lilly (LLY) stock rose 4% following the news.

    Reuters reports:

    Read more here.

  • Markets roundup: Stocks, gold, bitcoin and oil

    The fallout from President Trump’s tariff defeat on Friday has gone far and wide, and the markets have started to react to the news.

    Stocks: US stock futures slipped on Monday as Wall Street digested the latest news on Trump’s tariff defeat. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) dropped 0.3%. Contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) fell roughly 0.3%, while those on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) sank 04%.

    Chinese stocks got a boost from tariffs, as investors weighed the impact on the current deal the US has with China and whether China’s leader Xi Jinping would seek to renegotiate it. The Hang Seng index (^HSI) closed 2% up on Monday.

    Gold: Gold (GC=F) futures rose 1%, and silver (SI=F) gained 4% as investors poured into safe-haven assets following Trump’s tariff defeat.

    Bitcoin: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) fell below $66,000 and was down 3% on Monday.

    Oil: Brent (BZ=F) and West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) both fell 0.7% on Monday.

  • Wall Street reacts to tariff ruling

    Some assorted thoughts from around Wall Street on the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling:

    Deutsche Bank

    “Looking ahead, the reality is that the 15% tariff imposed under Section 122 can only remain in place for 150 days (late July), after which Congressional approval would be required to extend it. Section 122 was designed as a temporary tool to address emergency balance of payments issues and would likely face further legal challenges if rolled over repeatedly.

    That raises a key political question: will a small number of Republicans in either chamber be reluctant to support what could be framed as an extension of a consumer tax hike just three and a half months before the mid term elections? At that point, the administration faces a binary choice: try to secure an extension or allow the tariff to lapse. The latter appears the more likely outcome. In that scenario, the administration would probably pivot to other legal authorities—most notably Section 232 (national security) or Section 301 (unfair trade practices)—to re establish a more durable tariff regime. While the groundwork for such a move has almost certainly been laid, these measures are narrower in scope and would themselves be vulnerable to legal challenge.”

    Goldman Sachs

    “Imports from countries that will experience meaningful tariff reductions from the latest policy changes are likely to pick up in coming months, but the impact on GDP should be largely offset by increased inventory accumulation and consumption, reduced imports from other countries through which trade had been rerouted, and small reductions in imports from countries whose tariff rate has risen. We are launching our 2026Q1 GDP tracking estimate at 3.4%, though this incorporates a 1.3 percentage point contribution from the end of the government shutdown in 2025Q4. We continue to forecast 2.5% GDP growth for 2026 Q4/Q4, a 0.3 percentage point acceleration from 2025 Q4/Q4 that partly reflects the fading drag from tariffs giving way to a boost from tax cuts.”

    Jefferies

    “Retailers face decisions around whether to reinvest tariff savings into lower prices, allow margins to expand, or redirect savings into the business. We expect outcomes to vary by category, competitive intensity, and brand positioning. Reduced tariff pressure could allow retailers to revisit suppliers or sourcing regions that had become less economical, potentially improving assortment, innovation, or supply chain efficiency.”

  • EU says ‘a deal is a deal’, rejects Trump’s higher tariff proposal

    The European Commission has published a reply to Trump‘s 15% global tariffs, issued following the Supreme Court ruling that Trump did not act with legal authority when shaking up global trade at the start of his second term.

    Reuters reports:

    Read more here.

  • Bitcoin drops beneath $65,000 following tariff instability

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Gold climbs as tariff ruling spooks risk-averse investors

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Blue Owl withdrawal stoppage puts fear into private credit market

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.